Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 1.534564 1.932279 2.473966 3.302325 4.614154 6.779271 11.106898
2025-08-24 1.041690 1.442267 2.081728 3.294506 5.924951 13.002671 49.694252
2025-08-31 0.792220 1.153453 1.783323 3.147416 6.857197 22.674172 631.517083
2025-09-07 0.676838 1.028562 1.691376 3.319405 8.977887 57.013570 NaN
2025-09-14 0.585311 0.915283 1.571152 3.337501 10.864494 166.303805 NaN
2025-09-21 0.510199 0.813057 1.437038 3.230205 12.190775 648.153121 NaN
2025-09-28 0.455927 0.738861 1.340941 3.179232 13.990310 83938.918817 NaN
2025-10-05 0.433623 0.722116 1.369721 3.566058 21.424643 NaN NaN
2025-10-12 0.406579 0.690287 1.352264 3.784871 30.345262 NaN NaN
2025-10-19 0.375278 0.644274 1.286255 3.762858 36.980357 NaN NaN
2025-10-26 0.344335 0.594757 1.199885 3.599062 40.142009 NaN NaN
2025-11-02 0.325453 0.568995 1.172383 3.703214 55.428935 NaN NaN
2025-11-09 0.311101 0.551945 1.167213 3.939559 93.690929 NaN NaN
2025-11-16 0.292679 0.523461 1.123128 3.938409 130.312696 NaN NaN
2025-11-23 0.272544 0.488848 1.054323 3.748998 142.144240 NaN NaN
2025-11-30 0.262646 0.476819 1.051353 3.972495 315.488309 NaN NaN
2025-12-07 0.250094 0.457117 1.020642 3.996115 584.305599 NaN NaN
2025-12-14 0.236155 0.432784 0.971091 3.856543 766.723621 NaN NaN
2025-12-21 0.224680 0.413365 0.934329 3.790443 1332.545016 NaN NaN
2025-12-28 0.222125 0.415184 0.967057 4.295396 NaN NaN NaN
2026-01-04 0.216406 0.408593 0.970422 4.584352 NaN NaN NaN
2026-01-11 0.207585 0.393425 0.941339 4.555175 NaN NaN NaN
2026-01-18 0.197530 0.374410 0.896025 4.338828 NaN NaN NaN